We have been having a bit of luck with last race specials like Woorim and Under The Eiffel winning on the first two days of the carnival - but today we are doing the reverse, as i think the best value bet all day at the Flemington meeting is ULUNDI in race 1. The horse's last run behind Foreteller and co was a complete forgive and this race today is an awful lot easier. With Darren Beadman up I expect him to be very hard to beat today.

At absurd odds do not be surprised if TASOS runs a good race in race 8. He is a very sharp short course sprinter and should not be 60/1.

Even though the Hawkesbury Cup today looks tailor made for Somepin Anypin - I am still going to have something on LEICA LARRIKIN. This race is far more suitable than last time out when he never got into the race on a mad leader's track at Rosehill. I expect him to improve a lot today.

I am also pretty keen on FIREBOLT in the last race on the card. Formerly trained by Roger James and now with Chris Waller, this is a high quality horse on his day and the race looks tailor made for him here.

In my final analysis of today's Melbourne Cup I am now more convinced than ever that the Godolphin juggernaut may have brought the right horse in Lost In The Moment for today's Melbourne Cup. It is such a hard race and you could have 15 stabs and miss the winner - but the mystique around the race, the form, the track and the depth of international competition makes the race a lottery - but very intriguing.

In doing the form you had to put aside the sentiment of whether Bart Cummings can rack up the baker's dozen and win cup no 13, whether Dean Yendall can cap his meteoric rise as a jockey and win the race on the heavily backed Niwot, whether Americain can carry the extra weight.

But eventually you have to arrive at a decision and I am all over Lost In The Moment each way.

As for good things on the card - I think there is some great value in the other races. I am pretty keen that UNDER THE EIFFEL will win the last providing the track does not get too much rain and cut out. He is a smart horse. I am also pretty keen on LANGRIDGE STREET at huge odds in race eight.

The Randwick meeting looks good value too with TANYA JEAN my best in race five. I also give QUICK PEEK a great chance in race eight.